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Risk Management ยท Lesson 05
05

The Risk-to-Reward Ratio

7 min

The risk-to-reward ratio compares the potential loss of a trade with its potential profit. It helps traders judge whether a setup offers enough potential reward for the risk being accepted.

What you will learn

  • Calculate a risk-to-reward ratio.
  • Understand the relationship between win rate and reward size.
  • Recognize misleading risk-to-reward setups.

Calculating the ratio

The risk-to-reward ratio can be calculated by dividing potential risk by potential reward.

For example, a trade risking $100 for a potential profit of $200 has a ratio of 1:2.

Different ratios

A 1:1 setup offers approximately the same potential reward as risk. A 1:2 setup aims for twice the potential reward, while a 1:3 setup aims for three times the potential reward.

A larger ratio is not automatically better. The target must still be realistic based on market structure, volatility, and the trading strategy.

Win rate and expectancy

A strategy with a larger average reward may be able to remain profitable with a lower win rate. However, a large theoretical target is not useful if the market rarely reaches it.

Traders should evaluate actual historical results rather than relying only on planned ratios.

Potential problems

A trade may appear to offer a very attractive ratio but have a low probability of reaching the target. Spread, commissions, slippage, and changing market conditions can also affect the real result.

Key takeaways

  • The ratio compares potential loss with potential profit.
  • A high ratio does not guarantee a successful trade.
  • Use realistic targets and review actual performance.